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Thursday, April 17, 2008

Will Third Time Be The Charm for Wizards?

The Washington Wizards have three All-Stars in their rotation now that Gilbert Arenas has returned to action. They will face Cleveland in the first round of the playoffs for the third year in a row, this time in a fourth seed versus fifth seed matchup with the Cavaliers enjoying homecourt advantage. The headliners in this series are LeBron James and Gilbert Arenas, though they will only guard each other sporadically. The teams split the head to head season series and have virtually identical records but the perception in some quarters is that Washington will beat Cleveland because the Wizards are peaking while the Cavs have not looked particularly powerful since their big midseason trade. Here is my take on how this series will unfold:

Will Third Time Be The Charm for Wizards?

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posted by David Friedman @ 7:49 PM

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5 Comments:

At Friday, April 18, 2008 2:12:00 AM, Blogger beep said...

I would bet 4:3 for the Wizards. Why?
I think LeBron has slightly worse supporting cast this year overall. And I tend to give a credit to Arenas being smart enough to notice that he shouldn't dominate the ball too much, expecially when he has brickfest game.
If Arenas turns out to be more clown than a player Wizards will be lost.

 
At Friday, April 18, 2008 8:53:00 AM, Blogger David Friedman said...

Beep:

It's tough to win a seventh game on the road. If the Wizards are going to eliminate the Cavs they really need to do it in six games.

 
At Saturday, April 19, 2008 2:01:00 AM, Blogger beep said...

winning in 6 still needs a road win, doesn't it?

 
At Saturday, April 19, 2008 2:04:00 AM, Blogger beep said...

sorry, I get the point so you may as well not publish my previous comment, which makes me silly :)

 
At Sunday, April 20, 2008 4:21:00 AM, Blogger David Friedman said...

Beep:

Just to be clear, history shows that winning a seventh game on the road is much tougher (and rarer) than winning on the road earlier in the series. If the Wizards are going to win the series then they probably need to win game two and then sweep their three home games.

 

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