20 Second Timeout is the place to find the best analysis and commentary about the NBA.

Thursday, October 23, 2025

Victor Wembanyama Dominates as Spurs Rout Mavericks in Cooper Flagg's First Regular Season Game

With all due respect to the other players on the Dallas Mavericks and San Antonio Spurs, we know the two reasons why these non-playoff teams from the 2024-25 season faced each other in ESPN's first telecast of the 2025-26 season: 2024 Rookie of the Year Victor Wembanyama and 2025 number one overall draft pick Cooper Flagg. Wembanyama led both teams in scoring (40 points), rebounding (15), and blocked shots (three) as his Spurs routed the Mavericks, 125-92, and he put himself in very distinguished company in two different ways. He set the franchise record for most points scored in a season opener--and that franchise history includes Hall of Famers George Gervin, David Robinson, and Tim Duncan; also, since the NBA began tracking individual turnovers during the 1977-78 season, four players have had a game with at least 40 points, at least 15 rebounds, and no turnovers: Moses Malone (twice), Shaquille O'Neal (three times), Anthony Davis (three times), and Victor Wembanyama. 

The most impressive and striking thing about how Wembanyama played is that he is noticeably bigger and stronger than he was last season, enabling him to attack the paint and eschew the long jumpers that he shot too frequently during his first two seasons. Being able to make outside shots and handle the ball on the perimeter are nice bonus features for the 7-4 Wembanyama, but the foundation of his greatness must be dominating the paint at both ends of the court--that will be his pathway to winning individual awards while lifting his team from the Draft Lottery to the playoffs. 

Stephon Castle, the 2025 Rookie of the Year, had a strong game (22 points, seven rebounds, game-high six assists), and could form a powerful duo with Wembanyama--and that could be a strong trio after former All-Star De'Aaron Fox returns from injury. Spurs' rookie Dylan Harper had a solid debut with 15 points on 7-14 field goal shooting.

The Spurs have enough talent, versatility, and experience to end their six year playoff drought, and this game was a good step in that direction. 

Flagg struggled to score, finishing with 10 points on 4-13 field goal shooting. As a versatile forward cast into an unfamiliar role as the starting point guard, he had no assists and three turnovers. The one positive is that he grabbed 10 rebounds. Charles Barkley--part of the award-winning TNT pre-game and post-game crew transferred to ESPN--said at halftime that the Mavericks are doing Flagg a disservice by playing him at point guard. Kenny Smith agreed, and noted that at point guard Flagg is being asked to pass to players who are not as good at scoring as he is. Barkley and Smith are correct that there is a big difference between being a skilled passer--which Flagg is--and playing the point guard position. I am not a fan of trying to convert versatile forwards into guards in their rookie seasons; it did not work well with Kevin Durant, and it is unlikely to work well with anyone else. Flagg must first learn how to play his natural forward position in the NBA before he learns how to play a new position. 

There is also a big difference between playing well in Summer League or preseason and playing well in the regular season. Despite his first game struggles, Flagg will be fine, but anyone who thinks that even the best college team would have a chance against the worst NBA team should note the huge gap between the college game--where Flagg was just the consensus Player of the Year--and the NBA game; the NBA game features much better players (and coaches) than the college game. 

Anthony Davis led the Mavericks in scoring (22 points) and rebounding (13), but he shot just 7-22 from the field and was outplayed by Wembanyama both overall and when they were matched up. P.J. Washington (17 points on 7-11 field goal shooting) was the only other Dallas player who scored more than 10 points. The Mavericks obviously missed the injured Kyrie Irving--who will not play until at least January 2026--and Daniel Gafford, who has a sprained ankle but is expected to return to action soon; however, even with those two players out, the Mavericks should not have lost by 33 points at home. Starting center Dereck Lively II was a non-factor with four points, two rebounds, and five fouls in just 10 minutes of action. Future Hall of Famer Klay Thompson was invisible (10 points on 4-13 field goal shooting), and the talented but inconsistent D'Angelo Russell (six points on 1-6 field goal shooting) reminded everyone why Dallas is his fourth team in the past four seasons.

Gafford's return, switching Flagg to his natural position, and playing with more energy collectively should help the Mavericks avoid more blowout losses.

Labels: , , , , , ,

posted by David Friedman @ 9:46 AM

0 comments

Friday, July 11, 2025

Cooper Versus Bronny is Strictly an Off-Broadway Event, Not a Broadway Feature Show

ESPN and other media outlets promoted Cooper Flagg's summer league debut game with a level of breathless hype just a notch or two below that accorded to an NBA Finals game--but this was equivalent to treating an off-Broadway play as if it were a Broadway feature show. It is understandable that fans may be interested to see how the number one overall draft pick performs, and it is natural for media outlets to relentlessly seek ratings/clicks/view/likes. However, the attempt to market Cooper Flagg's debut as some kind of battle royale versus Bronny James is ludicrous.

Cooper Flagg will immediately be an impactful player in the NBA, and there is good reason to believe that he will eventually be at least an All-Star; he is not fighting for a roster spot, nor will he spend a minute in the NBA G League. He will have to adjust to the physically, speed, and strength of NBA players, but he will be playing rotational minutes from day one.

In contrast, as a rookie last season, Bronny James scored 62 points in 181 minutes on .313 field goal shooting. He made 21 field goals and committed 13 turnovers. His season high was 17 points, which was the only time he scored in double figures; he failed to score in 13 of his 27 games. Bronny James is only in the NBA because his father is LeBron James, who has been the de facto general manager of the L.A. Lakers since joining the team in 2018 (although that may change in the wake of the Luka Doncic trade and the Buss family selling the team to owners who may not want James to continue to serve as player/GM).

Flagg may have 62 points in his first three NBA games, and he may average 17 ppg for his rookie season, never mind scoring 17 points in just one game. It will be shocking if he has 13 games during which he does not score a point.

Neither player shined in this overhyped summer league game, during which the Dallas Mavericks defeated the L.A. Lakers 87-85 after Flagg blocked DJ Steward's layup attempt, pushed the ball in transition, and found Ryan Nembhard for what proved to be the game-winning corner three pointer. Flagg finished with 10 points on 5-21 field goal shooting, six rebounds, four assists, three steals, and one blocked shot in 32 minutes. James had eight points on 2-8 field goal shooting, two rebounds, and two assists in 21 minutes. Neither player shot well, but Flagg showed that he can create shots for himself and for others; casual fans often underestimate how difficult it is to even get a shot off against NBA players. James' regular season single game career-high for field goal attempts is 10, but it is easy to picture Flagg averaging at least 10-12 field goals attempt per game in the regular season right now. 

There is rarely a prospect who is a sure thing. No one can say for sure if Cooper Flagg will be an all-time great, an All-NBA player, an All-Star, or just a solid pro--but based on what he has already shown at Duke and with USA Basketball, it would be surprising if he is not at the very least an NBA rotation player for a long time. In contrast, it would be surprising if Bronny James becomes an NBA rotation player any time soon, if at all. Flagg is playing in the summer league to practice running an offense and to get used to NBA defensive rotations, while James is playing in the summer league to try to earn an NBA roster spot and avoid being sent back to the NBA G League, which is where most players with his skill set and scant collegiate and NBA production play.

Labels: , , , , ,

posted by David Friedman @ 4:47 PM

0 comments